CTBTO 2026Evidence & methods

Collaborator record

What Juan and Igor supplied, what the project replayed, and what still stops short

Juan and Igor are collaborators, not labels on a task list. This page keeps their dated requests and contributions visible, ties each one to retained project inputs and checked results, and states plainly what matched, what failed, what was delivered, and what remains incomplete or unavailable.

Current reading

The strongest shared closeout is the 27 August reconstruction of their intended plots

It reproduces the intended H01W event, track, hydrophones, and broad spectral processing. Juan’s subsequent source-spectrum test is also complete and unfavorable: the three hydrophones do not infer one consistent source spectrum under either seabed treatment. Neither result validates absolute sound-pressure level, direction, or ship attribution.

Collaborator roles

They contributed different parts of the scientific picture

Juan’s work chiefly defines traffic screens, exact case tables, track geometry, and monthly diagnostics. Igor’s requests chiefly probe maps, spectra, direction, source depth, and what can be seen in the waveforms.

Juan Domingo Gonzalez

Traffic selections, workbooks, tracks, and monthly views

Juan supplied the tables and figures that anchored the H01W screening lane and the exact 26 March track reconstruction.

Igor

Propagation maps, spectral shape, direction, and interpretation tests

Igor’s questions pushed the project to make the propagation and waveform evidence inspectable—and to state where it does not support attribution.

How to read the timeline

Each item answers the same four questions

What arrived or was asked? How did the project test it with retained inputs? What matched or failed? What remains missing?

01

Supplied or asked

The preserved message, note, workbook, PDF, or screenshot that defines the item.

02

Project replay

The retained inputs, declared method, and bounded comparison used to test it.

03

Delivered result

The reader-facing table, figure, explorer, or checked package now available.

04

Still missing

The part that remains partial, unavailable, or unsupported instead of being waved away.

Timeline

Dated collaborator work, reconciled to the current 27 August state

The 25 August audit was a useful checkpoint, but several statuses changed after the dense-track closeout, the reconstruction of Juan’s and Igor’s intended plots, the January 63 Hz closeout, Igor’s later calibrated-looking renders, and Juan’s completed frequency-dependent TL request.

Igor

8 Aug 2026

A direct WhatsApp screenshot is retained at sources/user/igor_messages_ha10.png.

A hypothetical cargo-passage question near H10

Supplied or asked

Igor asked about cargo ships at least 180 m long, moving at about 10 kn near H10, and wanted modeled noise estimates at H10 and other stations. He also asked for surrounding ARA traffic data.

Project replay

The project later retained bounded ARA snapshots and completed exact H10 propagation comparisons for observed cases. It did not turn those observed passages into the specified hypothetical multi-station sweep.

What matched or failed

The later H10 work answers related observed-case questions, but it does not answer Igor’s stated 180 m, 10 kn scenario. The two must not be presented as the same result.

Still partial or unavailable

The hypothetical still needs a frozen route or passage geometry, station set, source definition, and coverage decision before it can be computed as a distinct result.

H10 check paths in the propagation explorerARA input sets and their limits

Juan Domingo Gonzalez

10 Aug 2026

Direct WhatsApp text and two PDFs are retained under sources/user/juan_2026-08-10/.

Preliminary H01W February screening and the first hourly-ranking question

Supplied or asked

Juan sent preliminary February plots for H01W and wrote that the remaining step was to select, within one hour, the moments with the largest combined modeled shipping level.

Project replay

The project recovered the later 678-row workbook, the exact TL-lite rule, and the overlap with retained waveforms. It then froze a stricter reproducible follow-up: four non-overlapping higher-versus-comparison windows drawn from the same month-scoped anonymous AMSA rows.

What matched or failed

The collaborator idea turned into a bounded comparison that can be replayed exactly. Three of four pairs were louder at both 63 and 80 Hz, but none passed the complete three-hydrophone direction rule.

Still partial or unavailable

No retained source shows that Juan reviewed or accepted the project’s stricter replacement for his original hourly-combination note.

Four-pair result on the main reportInput sets and cohort definition

Juan Domingo Gonzalez

13 Aug 2026

Forwarded WhatsApp bundle is retained under sources/user/juan_2026-08-13/.

The 678-row workbook, monthly PDFs, and the request to add RAM TL

Supplied or asked

Juan sent the Australia analysis workbook, monthly diagnostic PDFs, and a clear proposal: add a RAM transmission-loss column so he could reprocess and compare it against TL-lite.

Project replay

The project matched all 678 rows back to the retained official AMSA extracts, recovered the exact TL-lite script, and ran direct RAM for the H01W paths. It now retains both the 678-row 63 Hz fixed-versus-geology-informed comparison and the completed 720-case dense-track direct-TL package for Juan’s later exact track.

What matched or failed

Juan’s table is now reproducible against the retained inputs. The RAM comparison exists, and the project can say exactly where TL-lite and direct RAM agree or diverge.

Still partial or unavailable

The local record still does not show Juan’s promised own reprocessing or a collaborator-approved final comparison table built from his side.

Explained 678-path seabed comparisonDense-track direct-TL result

Juan Domingo Gonzalez

14 Aug 2026

The paper and its receipt are retained under sources/user/juan_2026-08-14/.

Heaney Figure 9 as visual inspiration

Supplied or asked

Juan supplied Heaney et al. as a visual reference, especially its Figure 9 style for a compact event-hour display.

Project replay

The project answered that prompt with a versioned one-minute H01W display over 10:10–11:10 UTC, keeping all three hydrophones and both 63 and 80 Hz decidecade bands.

What matched or failed

The display exists and is replayable. It shows a shared broad rise, but the peaks do not align tightly enough across hydrophones to support direction or attribution.

Still partial or unavailable

Visual resemblance to a published figure does not turn the result into ship attribution, and the page now says that directly.

One-minute H01W morphology resultTechnical explanation of the response basis

Igor

14 & 19 Aug 2026

A brief 14 August note mentions direction and source-depth sensitivity. The fuller 19 August record is igor-tmp. Both are contemporaneous local notes about Igor’s requests, not preserved messages from him.

Maps, spectral views, direction checks, and source-depth sensitivity

Supplied or asked

The notes attribute four concrete wants to Igor: presentable H01W maps, spectral views for selected cases, a direction test that beats wrong directions, and a check of 0.7 × draught source depth.

Project replay

The project produced four H01W propagation maps, representative power-spectral-density views, a complete-three-hydrophone direction test, and a row-wise 0.7 × draught sensitivity. It kept those lanes separate so a map, a spectrum, a direction test, and a depth sensitivity cannot be confused as one result.

What matched or failed

The four maps are checked historical propagation context, but they are not maps of named Juan-selected cases or modeled ship-noise contributions, so that part of the request remains partial. Spectral views exist. The direction test gave zero supporting cases, one disfavored case, and four indeterminate outcomes. The retained 0.7 × draught study covers 647 of Juan’s 678 rows. Current policy now requires a 6 m received-level branch and also a 0.7 × draught branch when draught is observed or supplied by an admitted reliable inference method; registry design draught remains labelled inferred.

Still partial or unavailable

There is still no finite project-wide catalogue for excluding obvious non-ship signals, and the project has not validated Igor’s own beamforming method on real ship data.

Fixed-seabed maps and propagation contextDirection and method boundaries

Juan Domingo Gonzalez

19–24 Aug 2026

Earlier monthly PDFs are retained under sources/google-drive/analysis/juan-2026-08-19/. Revised Drive files modified on 24 August were synchronized and checked on 27 August under sources/google-drive/analysis/juan-2026-08-26/.

Revised monthly diagnostics and a bounded January 2025 follow-up

Supplied or asked

Juan supplied monthly received-level, source-level, transmission-loss, speed, and loudest-case diagnostics. The later versions are distinct revisions except for one transmission-loss PDF that rendered identically to the retained copy.

Project replay

The project rendered and inspected the PDFs, kept them as collaborator diagnostics, and used the monthly question to motivate a bounded January screen from project-owned tables and matched reciprocal propagation fields.

What matched or failed

The January 63 Hz result is complete: 1,800 historical-fixed and 1,800 geology-informed fields support 1,411 eligible anonymous AMSA rows. The median geology-informed-minus-fixed transmission-loss difference is +3.80 dB. The corresponding 80 Hz solver fields have finished on Pazuzu, but they remain outside scientific interpretation and visualization until their closeout and derivative receipt is sealed.

Still partial or unavailable

Juan’s PDFs remain internal visual diagnostics: their labels are not always unambiguous, and no source tables, generating code, data dictionary, or redistribution permission accompanied them. The checked January result is therefore a project derivation, not a verbatim replay of the PDFs.

January 2025 figure and interpretationJanuary cohort and 80 Hz closeout status

Juan Domingo Gonzalez

26 Aug 2026

Read-only Drive sync is retained under sources/google-drive/SYNC_2026-08-27T0900Z.md.

Exact dense workbook and revised Drive diagnostics

Supplied or asked

Juan’s Drive folder added the exact `australia_26_03_26_extended_datos_buques.xlsx`, revised PDFs, and a map HTML export.

Project replay

The project retained the exact workbook, sanitized the HTML, rendered the PDFs, and compared the XLSX cell by cell against the already incorporated CSV export.

What matched or failed

All 319,590 workbook cells match the retained CSV export after removing the generated index column. The new Drive material closes source provenance for the 21,306-row dense track but does not change the scientific conclusion by itself.

Still partial or unavailable

The workbook still does not declare its timezone or CRS explicitly, so those remain collaborator-provided working assumptions rather than independently proved metadata.

Dense-track cohort and input definitionMain dense-track result

Igor

27 Aug 2026

Two JPEGs and their captions are recorded under analysis/h01w-lloyd-mirror-candidate-20260326/v1/igor-calibrated-views-20260827/.

Later calibrated-looking spectral renders

Supplied or asked

Igor forwarded a three-hydrophone power spectral density plot and spectrogram for the 26 March H01W event and described both as calibrated.

Project replay

The project treated the images as externally supplied views. It compared their shapes and marked times locally, but did not use them to replace the retained numerical waveform summaries because the response curve, estimator receipt, numerical arrays, uncertainty, and explicit timezone marker were not supplied.

What matched or failed

The images are useful evidence of the intended event and broad processing. Igor’s three marked minima fall within 54 seconds of Juan’s reconstructed closest approaches, but the images do not establish traceable absolute sound-pressure levels.

Still partial or unavailable

A reusable calibrated measurement still requires the underlying numerical arrays and enough response and estimator information to identify how they were produced. The original JPEGs remain local.

Shareable reconstruction belowMeasured-level boundary

Juan and Igor

27 Aug 2026

Checked package: analysis/h01w-lloyd-mirror-candidate-20260326/v1/igor-juan-plot-intent-reconstruction-v1/.

The 26 March H01W event, reconstructed from retained project data

Supplied or asked

This work answers the strongest shared collaborator question: do Juan’s track plot, Igor’s power spectral density curves, and Igor’s spectrograms reflect the same retained event, hydrophones, and broad processing intent as the project record?

Project replay

The project reused the exact 21,306-row track, the exact H01W1–3 waveform bytes, and existing historical-fixed and geology-informed direct propagation results. No propagation rerun was needed. An independent replay checked all forty recorded outputs, and visual review passed.

What matched or failed

Juan’s closest approaches reproduce within 3–4 s and 4.3–6.1 m in the event window. Igor’s spectral shapes correlate 0.9957–0.9960 with 0.43–0.45 dB residual error after one constant offset per hydrophone. Broad 35–85 Hz spectrogram time profiles correlate 0.775–0.816, while fine morphology correlations are 0.233–0.313. The event and broad spectral processing are reproduced; the available material does not validate absolute sound-pressure levels.

Still partial or unavailable

The original side-by-side composite remains local because it contains Igor’s restricted JPEG renders. This page uses only regenerated figures made from retained project data. No ship attribution follows.

Dense-track propagation resultTechnical result inventory
Closest approach3–4 s

Timing difference; range difference is 4.3–6.1 m.

Spectral shape0.9957–0.9960

Correlation after one constant offset; residual error is 0.43–0.45 dB.

Spectrogram0.775–0.816

Broad 35–85 Hz time-profile correlation; fine morphology is 0.233–0.313.

Marked minima−17, +54, −27 s

Igor’s visual estimates minus Juan’s three closest-approach times.

Model and waveform0.530 → 0.588

63 Hz correlation, historical fixed to geology-informed; at 80 Hz it is 0.363 → 0.410.

Independent replay40 / 40

All recorded checks passed, and the four shareable figures passed visual review.

Three-panel reconstruction of Juan’s H01W1 through H01W3 distance-versus-time plots with the project geometry overlaid.
Juan track reconstruction

The project WGS84 geometry sits almost on top of Juan’s minima during the event hour.

Three hydrophone power spectral density curves reconstructed from the H01W event hour.
Power spectral density reconstruction

The broad spectral shape is nearly identical after one constant offset per hydrophone.

Three hydrophone spectrograms reconstructed from the H01W event hour.
Igor spectrogram reconstruction

The broad arches and hour-scale rise are recovered even though the fine pixels are not.

Comparison of fixed and geology-informed modeled H01W triplet levels against the measured provisional triplet series at 63 and 80 hertz.
Modeled-versus-measured comparison

The geology-informed branch has modestly higher correlations than the historical fixed branch at both frequencies, but neither branch identifies the vessel.

Juan Domingo Gonzalez

27 Aug 2026 · 14:02 UTC

A direct WhatsApp follow-up is retained locally. Its accompanying track image is not included here while its ownership and sharing status are being classified.

Frequency-dependent TL and source-level comparison for the 26 March ship

Supplied or asked

Juan asked for transmission loss from a source at 0.7 × draught to H01W1–3 over roughly 1–100 Hz. His proposed comparison adds the modeled loss back to the measured power spectral density to infer a source-level spectrum, then compares that spectrum with JOMOPANS-ECHO. He also reported that his own JASA search found no Lloyd’s Mirror paper using IMS, CTBTO, or deep hydrophones. That is a collaborator’s search observation, not a systematic review. He said he would omit dates and the ship identity from presentation figures.

Project replay

The project completed the bounded calculation for the exact 26 March track and travel times, a 6.16 m source depth—the 0.7 × draught value for this ship—all three hydrophones, both retained seabed descriptions, and eleven decidecade frequencies from 10 to 100 Hz. It combined 198 checked transmission-loss cases with arrival-centred 60-second waveform spectra and compared the three independently inferred source spectra with JOMOPANS-ECHO and its ±6 dB model range.

What matched or failed

The requested reconstruction is complete, and it is unfavorable. With the historical fixed bottom, only 6 of 33 frequency-and-time groups agreed across all three hydrophones within 6 dB, and only 7 of 33 agreed with JOMOPANS-ECHO within ±6 dB. The geology-informed bottom gave 4 of 33 and 5 of 33. Median cross-hydrophone spreads were 9.51 and 9.60 dB; median inferred source levels were 12.28 and 13.29 dB above the model. Changing the bottom does not rescue the comparison.

Still partial or unavailable

The calculation is finished, but the measured pressure basis still uses a provisional scalar and pooled response rather than a traceable absolute calibration. The result therefore cannot validate an absolute source level, identify the vessel, or support attribution. Juan’s search result is one collaborator’s literature-search observation, not a systematic review or evidence that the literature is empty.

Existing event reconstructionCompleted source-spectrum comparisonCurrent method and claim boundaries
Fixed-bottom and geology-informed inferred source spectra for three H01W hydrophones, compared with JOMOPANS-ECHO and cross-hydrophone consistency.
Juan’s requested source-spectrum comparison

The three hydrophones do not recover one consistent source spectrum under either seabed treatment, and most values lie above the JOMOPANS-ECHO model range.

Open items

The page keeps genuine gaps visible instead of turning them into implied success

Several collaborator-facing ideas remain bounded by missing provenance, unavailable arrays, or deliberately unrun science lanes.

01

Traceable calibration for Juan’s inferred source spectrum

Juan’s requested 10–100 Hz calculation is complete and unfavorable under both seabed treatments. What remains is not another transmission-loss sweep: it is a traceable H01W response and pressure calibration, plus Juan’s review of the result, before any absolute source-level interpretation could be reconsidered.

02

Igor’s H10 hypothetical 180 m / 10 kn scenario

A direct screenshot preserves the idea of modeling a hypothetical cargo passage near H10 and checking multiple stations. Later ARA holdings and observed H10 cases do not answer that scenario; its geometry and coverage still need to be fixed before computation.

03

Case-specific rejection of obvious non-ship contaminants

Several bounded exclusions exist inside specific analyses, but there is still no finite collaborator-approved cross-case catalogue that says which transient, whale, or machinery-like patterns should be discarded before comparison.

04

Collaborator-side reprocessing outcome

The site now shows what the project replayed and delivered, but the retained record still does not contain Juan’s own post-RAM comparison table or Igor’s machine-readable calibrated arrays.